06 DEC 2024

The HFI View: Planning reform is not enough to deliver the Government's targets, but the good news is that there's much more that could be done to accelerate housing delivery

Planning reform is important and can make a difference over the long term. It is widely considered that the current operation of the planning system has undermined housing delivery and that needs to be addressed. But experts at Savills say the Government's proposed local plan allocation reforms are unlikely to make a difference this Parliament. Savills have said:

"we expect the combined total of local plan annual targets will remain around 250,000-260,000 homes until 2027, and will only exceed the government's delivery target of 300,000 from the end of 2029. As a consequence, there won't be a sudden increase in land supply ...".

The Government's planning capacity and infrastructure measures will also take time to feed through once the new legislation has been brought forward and passed. Meanwhile "unlocking" stalled developments is reported at 4,700 homes. While this is not yet at a level to make a significant impact, it is a reminder of the importance of bringing forward existing developments. This has been a key feature of our work at the HFI.

In view of the Prime Minister's commitment set out in the "Plan for Change Milestones" on 5 December 2024, it is therefore essential - and increasingly urgent - that more immediate measures to increase the rate of housebuilding are considered.

What could more immediate measures look like?

There are a number of more immediate measures that can deliver more homes faster. Here's just four of the many ways in which housing delivery could be boosted:

Councils can – and do – deliver: Encourage a diversity of supply and support councils that deliver. This means more activity and practical encouragement to local authorities and housing associations and others to bring forward and deliver sites.

The New Homes Bonus was an effective policy tool – the Government should be making sure that money goes where it works. This should include looking at delegating housing and other grants and providing cash incentives to local authorities that deliver. It's been shown in the past and it holds true today, that councils really can lead the way and make a huge difference in housing delivery.

Done well, office to residential conversions can also help revitalise high streets and town centres and provide much needed additional homes. Permitted developments of office conversions have fallen to about 40% of the peak use. Meanwhile some town centres languish for want of an effective alternative use for tired shop premises as the shape of shopping and living in towns has changed. Many cash-strapped councils simply can't afford to use expensive compulsory purchase powers. But they should be supported to work in partnership with others to shape and re-energise high streets and town centres in line with their community vision.

Home Ownership Help: New mortgage support schemes would help First Time Buyers and lower income households onto the housing ladder. The Home Builders Federation have also highlighted how such schemes would also play a vital role in increasing housing delivery. On the other hand, increasing section 106 developer contributions for affordable housing, which the Housing Minister recently said he is considering, without looking at the overall costs and requirements of bringing forward new developments, risks site viability and could hamper housing delivery further.

Partnerships can deliver more Affordable Homes: Encouraging institutional private investment and partnership working could make a real difference to boosting affordable housing delviery. The current strategy of relying on public money for affordable housing from the affordable homes programme will not be enough. Indeed, following the Autumn Budget, it is difficult to see that there will be the headroom to deliver the affordable homes needed without harnessing private finance and partnership working. The good news is that there is a wall of private finance money keen to invest in affordable housing as well as low cost home ownership. It's vital to remove any blocks and barriers to investment.

Speed up new towns and other large scale developments: Accelerating new towns and other large scale developments would increase overall housing delivery. In particular it will be important to secure private finance and institutional investment to deliver the housing and infrastructure required – and ensure that the infrastructure providers, be that broadband, energy, transport or water, are prioritising installations and connections at the necessary pace to support new homes and communities. Mayoral led and local authority led new towns have particular potential.

At the HFI, we have been looking at new models for accelerated housing and infrastructure delivery and are keen to hear from individuals, organisations and councils who want to see real change and faster delivery. Contact us at connect@hfi.org.uk or get in touch with Natalie: natalie@hfi.org.uk.

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Housing Delivery Snapshot - August 2024 

• The Bank of England cut interest rates to 5% in a move expected to begin to boost confidence. The close 5-4 vote of the MPC came with a cautionary message that the Bank was not going to cut “too quickly or by too much”.

• Mortgage lender Nationwide released its latest UK house price index report, with an annual growth in house prices of 2.1% in July, its fastest pace since December 2022.

• The latest NHBC housing pipeline figures for Quarter 2 2024 show the scale of the current housebuilding slump with a 23% fall in new registrations compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

• Latest MHCLG data reported a significant fall in residential Planning Permissions over 30%, another key housing pipeline indicator.

• Following the General Election, the new Government confirmed its 1.5 million new homes target for this Parliament.

• The Housing Secretary took immediate action to impose compulsory housebuilding targets on councils, with a warning of direct intervention if housing targets are not met.

• The Housing Minister confirmed on BBC Radio 4’s Today programme on 31 July that the Government’s New Towns programme is not expected to deliver any completed homes this Parliament.


HFI Housing Delivery Newsletter - August 2024

The Bank of England’s rate cut was a ray of light, but the housing pipeline remains a cause for concern. At the Housing & Finance Institute, we look at the latest news and developments in housing since the election, including in the Housing Spotlight and Delivery Snapshot.

Rate Cut Boost

Amid a challenging year for housebuilding and mortgages, there was a ray of light on 1 August, with the Bank of England announcing a long-awaited interest rate cut to 5%. The close 5-4 vote of the Monetary Policy Committee came with a cautionary message that the Bank was not going to cut “too quickly or by too much”.

Ahead of the rate rise, the mortgage lender Nationwide released its latest UK house price index report, with an annual growth in house prices of 2.1% in July, its fastest pace since December 2022.

The latest Bank of England announcements will provide a little relief for some current mortgage holders and those needing to refinance. However, many first-time buyers are facing a continuing double challenge of finding money for a deposit while meeting stringent affordability criteria. So while generally mortgage market confidence may begin to rise off the back of the Bank of England interest rate cut, access to home ownership remains difficult for many, given the affordability and home deposit challenges.

Housing Pipeline Concern

However, housing pipeline figures remain a cause for concern with the latest NHBC housing pipeline figures showing the scale of the current housebuilding slump. Latest MHCLG data reported a significant fall in residential Planning Permissions, another key housing pipeline indicator.

Housing Policy Interventions

Following the General Election, the new Government has confirmed its 1.5 million new homes target for this Parliament. Immediate action has been taken by the Housing Secretary to impose compulsory housebuilding targets on councils, with a warning of direct intervention if housing targets are not met. However, the Government’s New Towns programmes is now not expected to deliver any completed homes this Parliament, the Housing Minister told Radio 4’s Today programme. This raises questions as to how the 1.5 million new homes target will be delivered, without these major new developments coming forward at pace.

Further Government intervention on the demand side to support new buyers and home deposit savers is likely to be necessary over the next period to reverse the current housebuilding slump, together with far-reaching interventions for skills and building materials to meet a housing target that hasn’t been met since mankind first landed on the moon over 50 years ago. The HFI’s purpose is to support increased housing supply, back councils and businesses working together to build more homes and promote new ways to finance housebuilding.

Do get in touch if you would like to share ideas and suggestions on building the homes our country needs.

Best regards

Natalie Elphicke Ross
Head of Housing Delivery

natalie@hfi.org.uk


December 2024