22 NOV 2017
A budget for housing?
The Housing & Finance Institute has prepared its pre-Budget briefing for today's Autumn Budget 2017. It is available to download here.
Housing is set to dominate the Autumn Budget, but it is not yet clear what type of Budget the Chancellor will deliver.
The Housing & Finance Institute has identified six potential budget themes - and some of the key policies to look out for in the Chancellor's statement.
Ahead of the Budget, the HFi's Chief Executive Natalie Elphicke said:
"Housing is a political hot topic. There is an opportunity to capture the public mood and deliver the housing that the public want and need. We can therefore expect housing to dominate the budget, but the tone is vitally important. This budget needs to address 'care & repair' issues for housing, such as tower block safety and homelessness, as well as simply building more homes.
"The Chancellor can choose one of six options, or a mix of them. What is clear is that this is an opportunity for the Chancellor to be radical.
The expectation is that this will be a 'something for everyone' housing budget - that could either be a crowd pleaser or fail to meet expectations.
The stakes have been raised for housing commitments to be at an all-time high at around the £50 billion mark. With more than £20 billion already committed to housing over this Parliament, it is certain that we should see significant funding commitments for housing and related infrastructure."
Housing Delivery Snapshot - August 2024
• The Bank of England cut interest rates to 5% in a move expected to begin to boost confidence. The close 5-4 vote of the MPC came with a cautionary message that the Bank was not going to cut “too quickly or by too much”.
• Mortgage lender Nationwide released its latest UK house price index report, with an annual growth in house prices of 2.1% in July, its fastest pace since December 2022.
• The latest NHBC housing pipeline figures for Quarter 2 2024 show the scale of the current housebuilding slump with a 23% fall in new registrations compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
• Latest MHCLG data reported a significant fall in residential Planning Permissions over 30%, another key housing pipeline indicator.
• Following the General Election, the new Government confirmed its 1.5 million new homes target for this Parliament.
• The Housing Secretary took immediate action to impose compulsory housebuilding targets on councils, with a warning of direct intervention if housing targets are not met.
• The Housing Minister confirmed on BBC Radio 4’s Today programme on 31 July that the Government’s New Towns programme is not expected to deliver any completed homes this Parliament.
HFI Housing Delivery Newsletter - August 2024
The Bank of England’s rate cut was a ray of light, but the housing pipeline remains a cause for concern. At the Housing & Finance Institute, we look at the latest news and developments in housing since the election, including in the Housing Spotlight and Delivery Snapshot.
Rate Cut Boost
Amid a challenging year for housebuilding and mortgages, there was a ray of light on 1 August, with the Bank of England announcing a long-awaited interest rate cut to 5%. The close 5-4 vote of the Monetary Policy Committee came with a cautionary message that the Bank was not going to cut “too quickly or by too much”.Ahead of the rate rise, the mortgage lender Nationwide released its latest UK house price index report, with an annual growth in house prices of 2.1% in July, its fastest pace since December 2022.
The latest Bank of England announcements will provide a little relief for some current mortgage holders and those needing to refinance. However, many first-time buyers are facing a continuing double challenge of finding money for a deposit while meeting stringent affordability criteria. So while generally mortgage market confidence may begin to rise off the back of the Bank of England interest rate cut, access to home ownership remains difficult for many, given the affordability and home deposit challenges.Housing Pipeline Concern
However, housing pipeline figures remain a cause for concern with the latest NHBC housing pipeline figures showing the scale of the current housebuilding slump. Latest MHCLG data reported a significant fall in residential Planning Permissions, another key housing pipeline indicator.Housing Policy Interventions
Following the General Election, the new Government has confirmed its 1.5 million new homes target for this Parliament. Immediate action has been taken by the Housing Secretary to impose compulsory housebuilding targets on councils, with a warning of direct intervention if housing targets are not met. However, the Government’s New Towns programmes is now not expected to deliver any completed homes this Parliament, the Housing Minister told Radio 4’s Today programme. This raises questions as to how the 1.5 million new homes target will be delivered, without these major new developments coming forward at pace.
Further Government intervention on the demand side to support new buyers and home deposit savers is likely to be necessary over the next period to reverse the current housebuilding slump, together with far-reaching interventions for skills and building materials to meet a housing target that hasn’t been met since mankind first landed on the moon over 50 years ago. The HFI’s purpose is to support increased housing supply, back councils and businesses working together to build more homes and promote new ways to finance housebuilding.
Do get in touch if you would like to share ideas and suggestions on building the homes our country needs.
Best regards
Natalie Elphicke Ross
Head of Housing Delivery
natalie@hfi.org.uk
October 2024 Housing Delivery Snapshot
What are the key areas to Budget Watch in relation to Housing Delivery?
Autumn Budget 2024: What are the key areas to Budget Watch in relation to Housing Delivery?
August 2024 Housing Delivery Snapshot
