13 JUN 2019

Help to Buy - National Audit Office Report

Today, the National Audit Office (NAO) released its latest report 'Help to Buy: Equity Loan scheme – progress review'. We at The Housing & Finance Institute were delighted to be able to contribute to the report, alongside other HFi membership organisations, at our recent Housing Accelerators' Forum.

While the media claimed that the report was negative of the Help to Buy scheme, with a top-line based on individuals using Help to Buy when they don't need to; the report itself was far from the negative picture painted. In fact, the NAO's report was positive of the scheme and dispelled many of the myths associated with it.

Some of our top take-away points from the report were:

  • 2031/32 is the year by which the Department estimates it will have recouped its investment in full. 
  • 81% is the proportion of Help to Buy loans provided to first-time buyers in England, at December 2018. 
  • The Department expects the scheme to support around 352,000 property purchases by March 2021, via loans totalling around £22 billion in cash terms.
  • 63% of first-time buyers were aged 34 and under. 
  • The rate of building had increased by 14.5% because of the scheme. By comparing prices paid for similar new-build properties in the same area with and without the scheme, we estimate that buyers supported by the scheme have paid less than 1% more.
  • The scheme is therefore delivering value so far against its own objectives - those objectives being to "deliver the homes the country needs", through increasing home ownership and increasing housing supply. 
  • The Department is currently forecasting a positive return on its investment and redemptions are running ahead of expectations.

Click here to read the report in full.

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Housing Delivery Snapshot - August 2024 

• The Bank of England cut interest rates to 5% in a move expected to begin to boost confidence. The close 5-4 vote of the MPC came with a cautionary message that the Bank was not going to cut “too quickly or by too much”.

• Mortgage lender Nationwide released its latest UK house price index report, with an annual growth in house prices of 2.1% in July, its fastest pace since December 2022.

• The latest NHBC housing pipeline figures for Quarter 2 2024 show the scale of the current housebuilding slump with a 23% fall in new registrations compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

• Latest MHCLG data reported a significant fall in residential Planning Permissions over 30%, another key housing pipeline indicator.

• Following the General Election, the new Government confirmed its 1.5 million new homes target for this Parliament.

• The Housing Secretary took immediate action to impose compulsory housebuilding targets on councils, with a warning of direct intervention if housing targets are not met.

• The Housing Minister confirmed on BBC Radio 4’s Today programme on 31 July that the Government’s New Towns programme is not expected to deliver any completed homes this Parliament.


HFI Housing Delivery Newsletter - August 2024

The Bank of England’s rate cut was a ray of light, but the housing pipeline remains a cause for concern. At the Housing & Finance Institute, we look at the latest news and developments in housing since the election, including in the Housing Spotlight and Delivery Snapshot.

Rate Cut Boost

Amid a challenging year for housebuilding and mortgages, there was a ray of light on 1 August, with the Bank of England announcing a long-awaited interest rate cut to 5%. The close 5-4 vote of the Monetary Policy Committee came with a cautionary message that the Bank was not going to cut “too quickly or by too much”.

Ahead of the rate rise, the mortgage lender Nationwide released its latest UK house price index report, with an annual growth in house prices of 2.1% in July, its fastest pace since December 2022.

The latest Bank of England announcements will provide a little relief for some current mortgage holders and those needing to refinance. However, many first-time buyers are facing a continuing double challenge of finding money for a deposit while meeting stringent affordability criteria. So while generally mortgage market confidence may begin to rise off the back of the Bank of England interest rate cut, access to home ownership remains difficult for many, given the affordability and home deposit challenges.

Housing Pipeline Concern

However, housing pipeline figures remain a cause for concern with the latest NHBC housing pipeline figures showing the scale of the current housebuilding slump. Latest MHCLG data reported a significant fall in residential Planning Permissions, another key housing pipeline indicator.

Housing Policy Interventions

Following the General Election, the new Government has confirmed its 1.5 million new homes target for this Parliament. Immediate action has been taken by the Housing Secretary to impose compulsory housebuilding targets on councils, with a warning of direct intervention if housing targets are not met. However, the Government’s New Towns programmes is now not expected to deliver any completed homes this Parliament, the Housing Minister told Radio 4’s Today programme. This raises questions as to how the 1.5 million new homes target will be delivered, without these major new developments coming forward at pace.

Further Government intervention on the demand side to support new buyers and home deposit savers is likely to be necessary over the next period to reverse the current housebuilding slump, together with far-reaching interventions for skills and building materials to meet a housing target that hasn’t been met since mankind first landed on the moon over 50 years ago. The HFI’s purpose is to support increased housing supply, back councils and businesses working together to build more homes and promote new ways to finance housebuilding.

Do get in touch if you would like to share ideas and suggestions on building the homes our country needs.

Best regards

Natalie Elphicke Ross
Head of Housing Delivery

natalie@hfi.org.uk


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HFI Pre Budget Briefing October 2024